So we get to see Iggy crowned today!
Pundits are proclaiming that the Libs secret cabal of movers and shakers have decided to dump Dion and install Iggy, either today or Wednesday. Can anybody see the hand of our very own Senator from Bagot St. in this? Still a huge influence in the party Sen David Smith has been a big backer of Iggy from day one. He brought him up from the depths of obscurity, in Harvard, to be foisted on the Party as the Messiah. It will finally happen now, circumventing the Party leadership process and completing the putsch.
What it means for the anti-Harper forces is up to question. In an ideal world one would be structuring an arrangement to run a two party race in close ridings to eliminate vote-splitting, but that means the NDP has to be convinced that there is something in it for them: either more seats or more friendly legislation. In the absence of such a deal then the Libs can only depend on the dislike of Harper and the fact that Iggy is not Dion for more votes. Will there be enough votes to take power? That is debatable!. So we are back to square one - the ascension of Harper to power for the next four years.
What it means for the anti-Harper forces is up to question. In an ideal world one would be structuring an arrangement to run a two party race in close ridings to eliminate vote-splitting, but that means the NDP has to be convinced that there is something in it for them: either more seats or more friendly legislation. In the absence of such a deal then the Libs can only depend on the dislike of Harper and the fact that Iggy is not Dion for more votes. Will there be enough votes to take power? That is debatable!. So we are back to square one - the ascension of Harper to power for the next four years.

3 comments:
Much has been made by supporters of the coalition that Harper has set Canadian unity back decades because of his vociferous criticism of the Bloc element. If the coalition supporters are correct, then we should see quite a spike in support for the PQ in today's Quebec election.
Interestingly, Pauline Marois has not exploited this to the PQ's advantage, but then again, she probably doesn't read the arrogant presumptive projections of Angloes in small town Ontario.
Like you?
Am not sure that federal and provincial politics are that directly related, but you could be right. Hope not. Guess we'll see soon enough.
DJO
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